Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.882966 1.007818 1.143857 1.303075 1.484314 1.684211 1.921445
2025-02-16 0.691723 0.862751 1.065869 1.324835 1.646285 2.032320 2.531452
2025-02-23 0.565857 0.751062 0.984702 1.300994 1.718137 2.249803 2.979676
2025-03-02 0.483175 0.674820 0.928821 1.289965 1.790451 2.460099 3.425489
2025-03-09 0.426140 0.622025 0.892995 1.294996 1.876519 2.687998 3.908444
2025-03-16 0.380775 0.578241 0.862070 1.299491 1.957022 2.909730 4.397888
2025-03-23 0.345763 0.544410 0.840111 1.311960 2.046556 3.148085 4.929216
2025-03-30 0.306764 0.499517 0.795932 1.284456 2.070178 3.286500 5.317349
2025-04-06 0.273774 0.460064 0.755402 1.257108 2.089005 3.415760 5.698488
2025-04-13 0.242388 0.419635 0.708845 1.214403 2.077171 3.492433 5.997436
2025-04-20 0.235843 0.419903 0.728471 1.282574 2.254124 3.890517 6.865063
2025-04-27 0.228238 0.417376 0.742756 1.342240 2.420845 4.283922 7.757587
2025-05-04 0.218583 0.410626 0.749702 1.390764 2.574510 4.671666 8.682833
2025-05-11 0.205677 0.396680 0.742595 1.413301 2.683589 4.990429 9.513964
2025-05-18 0.187499 0.370940 0.711417 1.387882 2.700851 5.142864 10.048104
2025-05-25 0.173059 0.350866 0.688782 1.376120 2.742031 5.341605 10.685679
2025-06-01 0.162152 0.336607 0.675788 1.381485 2.816084 5.607470 11.475183
2025-06-08 0.152189 0.323241 0.663226 1.386278 2.888852 5.875834 12.291712
2025-06-15 0.144000 0.312715 0.655310 1.399576 2.979572 6.186384 13.220065
2025-06-22 0.132310 0.293645 0.628187 1.370245 2.978771 6.310493 13.769212
2025-06-29 0.121725 0.275939 0.602312 1.341082 2.975367 6.428085 14.313256
2025-07-06 0.110682 0.256165 0.570274 1.295539 2.932177 6.457428 14.666693
2025-07-13 0.110316 0.260436 0.590806 1.368238 3.156269 7.079500 16.387309